NFL TEAM EVALUATOR
HB Analytics · 2025
Differential = this team's offense minus its own defense for like metrics · Positive = offense leads · Ranked vs all 32 teams
Staying out of obvious passing situations — 2nd & 8+, where the box thins, and 3rd & 5+, where the defense subs to dime and pressure passes 42%. 1st down success is staying on schedule, on 1st & 10 only. 2nd & 8+ → 3rd & 4 or less is climbing back out once already behind the sticks — a first down, or enough yardage to leave a 3rd down the defense still has to respect the run on. Escape rate is the two averaged evenly. 2nd & 8+ is a quarter of the snaps but carries enough leverage to matter as much, so weighting by volume would bury it. Garbage time and the two-minute drill excluded · Sumer charting
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down | 458 | +0.082#7 | 45.0%#12 | 12.9%#3 | 21.6%#4 |
| 2nd & Short | 53 | +0.045#14 | 54.7%#14 | 9.4%#11 | -12.0%#23 |
| 2nd & Medium | 99 | +0.107#11 | 47.5%#16 | 12.1%#8 | 15.2%#7 |
| 2nd & Long | 170 | -0.091#26 | 45.3%#8 | 10.6%#10 | -3.3%#21 |
| 3rd & Short | 61 | -0.038#20 | 60.7%#16 | 3.3%#31 | 4.5%#16 |
| 3rd & Medium | 62 | +0.077#8 | 45.2%#10 | 8.1%#20 | 13.3%#12 |
| 3rd & Long | 79 | -0.101#17 | 35.4%#6 | 12.7%#11 | -54.9%#28 |
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down | 433 | -0.017#13 | 40.4%#5 | 7.9%#5 | -16.0%#2 |
| 2nd & Short | 57 | -0.063#8 | 52.6%#11 | 3.5%#4 | -28.8%#2 |
| 2nd & Medium | 125 | -0.190#1 | 39.2%#1 | 3.2%#1 | -32.3%#1 |
| 2nd & Long | 165 | -0.106#10 | 35.2%#4 | 7.3%#10 | -25.4%#4 |
| 3rd & Short | 69 | -0.416#1 | 44.9%#2 | 10.1%#24 | -36.2%#1 |
| 3rd & Medium | 77 | -0.320#3 | 36.4%#6 | 2.6%#2 | -20.8%#6 |
| 3rd & Long | 87 | -0.215#10 | 27.6%#11 | 9.2%#9 | -34.6%#7 |
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-Red Zone | 828 | +0.038#14 | 47.3%#7 | 13.0%#7 | — |
| Red Zone | 166 | -0.010#18 | 40.4%#20 | 2.4%#20 | 1.1%#14 |
| Goal to Go | 70 | +0.028#12 | 41.4%#21 | 2.9%#1 | -6.7%#20 |
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-Red Zone | 894 | -0.099#4 | 39.7%#3 | 7.6%#1 | — |
| Red Zone | 163 | -0.227#1 | 38.7%#8 | 2.5%#17 | -26.6%#1 |
| Goal to Go | 72 | -0.186#5 | 43.1%#14 | 0.0%#22 | -26.4%#2 |
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Quarter | 203 | +0.128#4 | 50.2%#3 | 12.8%#3 | 21.4%#4 |
| 2nd Quarter | 265 | -0.016#22 | 43.4%#19 | 9.8%#13 | -2.2%#19 |
| 3rd Quarter | 248 | +0.056#17 | 51.6%#3 | 13.3%#3 | 20.6%#9 |
| 4th Qtr / OT | 278 | -0.022#16 | 41.0%#21 | 9.7%#16 | -3.2%#11 |
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Quarter | 249 | -0.106#3 | 38.6%#1 | 6.4%#1 | -14.9%#1 |
| 2nd Quarter | 280 | -0.168#2 | 40.4%#6 | 5.4%#1 | -21.3%#2 |
| 3rd Quarter | 237 | -0.175#3 | 40.9%#6 | 5.9%#2 | -23.5%#1 |
| 4th Qtr / OT | 291 | -0.038#12 | 38.5%#6 | 9.3%#16 | -35.9%#2 |
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trailing 9+ | 63 | +0.029#13 | 54.0%#2 | 3.2%#32 | 13.0%#7 |
| Trailing 1-8 | 219 | +0.148#7 | 53.9%#2 | 12.8%#4 | 15.5%#8 |
| Close / Tied | 330 | -0.086#25 | 44.2%#17 | 10.3%#9 | 15.5%#8 |
| Leading 1-8 | 207 | -0.014#22 | 40.1%#21 | 9.2%#18 | -5.6%#25 |
| Leading 9+ | 292 | +0.011#17 | 44.5%#12 | 14.0%#3 | 6.5%#12 |
| Situation | Plays | EPA | SR% | Expl% | DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trailing 9+ | 430 | -0.111#9 | 40.5%#10 | 7.2%#8 | -24.8%#4 |
| Trailing 1-8 | 253 | -0.175#1 | 41.9%#7 | 5.9%#1 | -23.5%#3 |
| Close / Tied | 415 | -0.079#6 | 39.3%#3 | 7.0%#6 | -23.5%#3 |
| Leading 1-8 | 94 | -0.076#8 | 36.2%#3 | 5.3%#2 | -21.3%#1 |
| Leading 9+ | 18 | +0.028#16 | 33.3%#4 | 5.6%#4 | -27.9%#6 |
| Grouping | Freq | EPA/Play | EPA/Pass | EPA/Rush | Pass Rate | Play Action Rate | Pressure Rate Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 41.6% AVG 58.6% | -0.003 #22 | +0.040 #17 | -0.078 #28 | 67.4% AVG 69.5% | 13.3% AVG 14.5% #21 | 26.9% AVG 29.9% #6 |
| 12 | 28.0% AVG 24.5% | +0.203 #2 | +0.375 #1 | +0.064 #4 | 47.1% AVG 49.0% | 35.9% AVG 42.7% #22 | 26.7% AVG 29.7% #10 |
| 13 | 3.3% AVG 5.1% | -0.301 #28 | -0.065 #21 | -0.377 #24 | 24.2% AVG 44.7% | 75.0% AVG 57.0% #5 | 12.5% AVG 31.3% #5 |
| 21 | 14.3% AVG 7.0% | -0.045 #16 | +0.040 #15 | -0.083 #19 | 35.2% AVG 43.8% | 58.0% AVG 46.5% #9 | 34.0% AVG 30.3% #19 |
| 22 | 9.1% AVG 2.6% | -0.134 #19 | -0.401 #14 | -0.053 #14 | 22.2% AVG 27.4% | 55.0% AVG 52.3% #8 | 30.0% AVG 27.3% #10 |
| Grouping | Freq | EPA/Play | EPA/Pass | EPA/Rush | Pass Rate | Play Action Rate | Pressure Rate Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 62.2% AVG 58.7% | -0.066 #9 | -0.051 #9 | -0.050 #6 | 76.6% AVG 69.7% | 12.1% AVG 14.5% | 32.4% AVG 29.8% |
| 12 | 20.6% AVG 24.4% | -0.167 #2 | -0.007 #10 | -0.262 #1 | 48.6% AVG 49.8% | 46.2% AVG 40.4% | 44.3% AVG 30.2% |
| 13 | 8.4% AVG 5.1% | -0.029 #11 | +0.109 #16 | -0.116 #11 | 42.7% AVG 40.6% | 52.6% AVG 53.0% | 23.7% AVG 27.7% |
| 21 | 6.6% AVG 7.0% | -0.424 #1 | -0.605 #1 | -0.275 #3 | 44.3% AVG 42.5% | 45.2% AVG 46.9% | 41.9% AVG 29.6% |
| 22 | 1.0% AVG 2.5% | -0.764 #1 | -2.282 #2 | +0.103 #20 | 36.4% AVG 27.1% | 25.0% AVG 57.8% | 50.0% AVG 28.8% |
* Freq = % of snaps in this personnel grouping. EPA ranks are 1-32 based on the team's efficiency in this specific grouping vs the rest of the league (defense EPA is what the grouping allowed — lower is better). Colors indicate performance relative to the NFL average for that grouping. Play Action Rate and Pressure Rate Allowed are offense-only — a defense doesn't run play action, and its own pressure-generated rate lives on the Overview tab, not this grouping breakdown. Play Action Rate's rank is just usage order (highest first), not a good/bad judgment; Pressure Rate Allowed is colored (lower is better).
** Two sources on one table, on purpose. Freq comes from Sumer Sports per-play charting; FTN's own usage rates understated heavy personnel badly enough to be unusable (it had SF at 0.2% 21 personnel in 2025, against Sumer's 36.3%, in a season its fullback played 629 snaps). Every other column is FTN, whose per-grouping splits are internally consistent and weren't shown to share that bug. Freq columns won't sum to 100% — the remainder is the rarer packages (10, 02, 23...) that neither source breaks out here. Sumer charting starts in 2022; earlier seasons fall back to FTN's usage rates.