HB Analytics HB Analytics
Carolina Panthers
FILTER
18 weeks · Full Season
* These metrics come from FTN's season-to-date splits and can't be recomputed for a partial week range.
⚔ Offense
± Differential
🛡 Defense

Differential = this team's offense minus its own defense for like metrics · Positive = offense leads · Ranked vs all 32 teams

OVERALL
EPA / PLAY ↗
+0.058
#10 / 32
NET EPA MARGIN ↗
+0.085
#11 / 32
EPA / PLAY ALLOWED ↗
-0.028
#14 / 32
EPA / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.058
#10 / 32
LG +0.006
± DIFF
+0.085
#11
🛡 Defense
-0.028
#14 / 32
LG +0.006
SUCCESS RATE ↗
42.3%
#19 / 32
NET SUCCESS RATE ↗
-0.2%
#13 / 32
SUCCESS RATE ALLOWED ↗
42.4%
#12 / 32
SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
42.3%
#19 / 32
LG 43.8%
± DIFF
-0.2%
#13
🛡 Defense
42.4%
#12 / 32
LG 43.9%
YARDS / PLAY ↗
6.09
#7 / 32
NET YDS / PLAY ↗
+0.54
#7 / 32
YDS / PLAY ALLOWED ↗
5.55
#19 / 32
YARDS / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
6.09
#7 / 32
LG 5.46
± DIFF
+0.54
#7
🛡 Defense
5.55
#19 / 32
LG 5.46
EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE ↗
10.8%
#6 / 32
NET EXPLOSIVE RATE ↗
+1.7%
#10 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RATE ALLOWED ↗
9.1%
#15 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
10.8%
#6 / 32
LG 9.3%
± DIFF
+1.7%
#10
🛡 Defense
9.1%
#15 / 32
LG 9.2%
TURNOVER RATE ↗
1.5%
#17 / 32
NET TURNOVER MARGIN ↗
+1.3%
#8 / 32
TURNOVER RATE FORCED ↗
2.8%
#7 / 32
TURNOVER RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
1.5%
#17 / 32
LG 1.8%
± DIFF
+1.3%
#8
🛡 Defense
2.8%
#7 / 32
LG 1.9%
SITUATIONAL

Staying out of obvious passing situations — 2nd & 8+, where the box thins, and 3rd & 5+, where the defense subs to dime and pressure passes 42%. 1st down success is staying on schedule, on 1st & 10 only. 2nd & 8+ → 3rd & 4 or less is climbing back out once already behind the sticks — a first down, or enough yardage to leave a 3rd down the defense still has to respect the run on. Escape rate is the two averaged evenly. 2nd & 8+ is a quarter of the snaps but carries enough leverage to matter as much, so weighting by volume would bury it. Garbage time and the two-minute drill excluded · Sumer charting

1ST DOWN SUCCESS ↗
46.6%
#10 / 32
NET 1ST DOWN SUCCESS ↗
+7.5%
#10 / 32
1ST DOWN SUCCESS ALLOWED ↗
39.1%
#9 / 32
1ST DOWN SUCCESS
▼
⚔ Offense
46.6%
#10 / 32
LG 43.6%
± DIFF
+7.5%
#10
🛡 Defense
39.1%
#9 / 32
LG 43.8%
2ND & 8+ → 3RD & 4 OR LESS ↗
50.0%
#6 / 32
NET 2ND & 8+ ESCAPE ↗
+10.9%
#8 / 32
2ND & 8+ ESCAPES ALLOWED ↗
39.1%
#18 / 32
2ND & 8+ → 3RD & 4 OR LESS
▼
⚔ Offense
50.0%
#6 / 32
LG 37.6%
± DIFF
+10.9%
#8
🛡 Defense
39.1%
#18 / 32
LG 37.6%
ESCAPE RATE ↗
48.3%
#6 / 32
NET ESCAPE RATE ↗
+9.2%
#5 / 32
ESCAPE RATE ALLOWED ↗
39.1%
#14 / 32
ESCAPE RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
48.3%
#6 / 32
LG 40.6%
± DIFF
+9.2%
#5
🛡 Defense
39.1%
#14 / 32
LG 40.7%
RUN GAME
RUSH EPA / PLAY ↗
-0.062
#21 / 32
NET RUSH EPA ↗
-0.108
#27 / 32
RUSH EPA ALLOWED ↗
+0.046
#29 / 32
RUSH EPA / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
-0.062
#21 / 32
LG -0.049
± DIFF
-0.108
#27
🛡 Defense
+0.046
#29 / 32
LG -0.048
RUSH SUCCESS RATE ↗
42.4%
#14 / 32
NET RUSH SR ↗
+0.0%
#15 / 32
RUSH SR ALLOWED ↗
42.4%
#16 / 32
RUSH SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
42.4%
#14 / 32
LG 41.7%
± DIFF
+0.0%
#15
🛡 Defense
42.4%
#16 / 32
LG 41.8%
EXPLOSIVE RUSH (10+) ↗
12.1%
#7 / 32
NET EXPL RUSH ↗
-1.0%
#18 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RUSH ALLOWED ↗
13.1%
#24 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RUSH (10+)
▼
⚔ Offense
12.1%
#7 / 32
LG 10.5%
± DIFF
-1.0%
#18
🛡 Defense
13.1%
#24 / 32
LG 10.5%
YARDS AFTER CONTACT / ATT ↗
1.53
#30 / 32
MISSED TACKLE RATE ↗
12.9%
#18 / 32
YARDS AFTER CONTACT / ATT
▼
⚔ Offense
1.53
#30 / 32
LG 2.07
—
🛡 Defense
12.9%
#18 / 32
LG 12.1%
PASS GAME
DROPBACK EPA ↗
+0.149
#12 / 32
NET DROPBACK EPA ↗
+0.165
#12 / 32
DROPBACK EPA ALLOWED ↗
-0.015
#12 / 32
DROPBACK EPA
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.149
#12 / 32
LG +0.071
± DIFF
+0.165
#12
🛡 Defense
-0.015
#12 / 32
LG +0.074
DROPBACK SUCCESS RATE ↗
43.9%
#22 / 32
NET DROPBACK SR ↗
-2.1%
#21 / 32
DROPBACK SR ALLOWED ↗
46.1%
#18 / 32
DROPBACK SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
43.9%
#22 / 32
LG 46.1%
± DIFF
-2.1%
#21
🛡 Defense
46.1%
#18 / 32
LG 46.2%
EXPLOSIVE PASS (20+) ↗
10.2%
#6 / 32
NET EXPL PASS ↗
+5.1%
#6 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PASS ALLOWED ↗
5.1%
#5 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PASS (20+)
▼
⚔ Offense
10.2%
#6 / 32
LG 8.3%
± DIFF
+5.1%
#6
🛡 Defense
5.1%
#5 / 32
LG 8.3%
PASSER RATING ↗
91.2
#16 / 32
NET PASSER RATING ↗
+17.7
#7 / 32
PASSER RTG ALLOWED ↗
73.5
#6 / 32
PASSER RATING
▼
⚔ Offense
91.2
#16 / 32
LG 88.1
± DIFF
+17.7
#7
🛡 Defense
73.5
#6 / 32
LG 88.5
EPA / DROPBACK UNDER PRESSURE ↗
-0.284
#9 / 32
QB HIT RATE ↗
12.0%
#26 / 32
EPA / DROPBACK UNDER PRESSURE
▼
⚔ Offense
-0.284
#9 / 32
LG -0.426
—
🛡 Defense
12.0%
#26 / 32
LG 15.2%
EPA / DROPBACK — CLEAN POCKET ↗
+0.347
#10 / 32
CATCHABLE THROW RATE ALLOWED ↗
67.9%
#11 / 32
EPA / DROPBACK — CLEAN POCKET
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.347
#10 / 32
LG +0.259
—
🛡 Defense
67.9%
#11 / 32
LG 69.7%
SACK RATE ALLOWED ↗
5.3%
#13 / 32
NET SACK RATE ↗
+0.8%
#13 / 32
SACK RATE GENERATED ↗
6.1%
#19 / 32
SACK RATE ALLOWED
▼
⚔ Offense
5.3%
#13 / 32
LG 6.0%
± DIFF
+0.8%
#13
🛡 Defense
6.1%
#19 / 32
LG 5.9%
PRESSURE RATE ALLOWED ↗
31.6%
#24 / 32
NET PRESSURE RATE ↗
+1.0%
#13 / 32
PRESSURE RATE GENERATED ↗
32.6%
#9 / 32
PRESSURE RATE ALLOWED
▼
⚔ Offense
31.6%
#24 / 32
LG 28.3%
± DIFF
+1.0%
#13
🛡 Defense
32.6%
#9 / 32
LG 28.1%
DOWN & DISTANCE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Down 86 +0.074#11 45.3%#12 7.0%#27 -2.2%#17
2nd & Short 9 -0.176#25 44.4%#23 11.1%#10 -23.5%#24
2nd & Medium 20 +0.031#15 35.0%#25 20.0%#3 -10.9%#17
2nd & Long 35 +0.538#3 45.7%#8 17.1%#2 62.8%#6
3rd & Short 10 -0.648#30 40.0%#29 10.0%#5 26.6%#8
3rd & Medium 12 +0.381#12 50.0%#12 16.7%#6 14.9%#11
3rd & Long 16 -0.045#15 31.2%#20 6.2%#25 62.0%#10
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Down 86 +0.064#22 38.4%#6 8.1%#12 16.9%#26
2nd & Short 8 +0.471#30 50.0%#11 12.5%#23 -1.5%#17
2nd & Medium 24 -0.464#2 45.8%#18 4.2%#7 -57.6%#4
2nd & Long 32 -0.034#19 43.8%#20 12.5%#24 -5.3%#19
3rd & Short 12 -0.490#5 50.0%#6 8.3%#23 -8.3%#14
3rd & Medium 17 -0.036#14 47.1%#18 11.8%#19 -38.9%#7
3rd & Long 13 +0.324#25 38.5%#23 15.4%#25 62.9%#22
FIELD ZONE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Non-Red Zone 156 +0.036#12 41.7%#24 13.5%#4 —
Red Zone 38 +0.146#11 44.7%#10 0.0%#21 6.8%#20
Goal to Go 22 +0.138#13 40.9%#20 0.0%#3 20.2%#14
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Non-Red Zone 173 -0.072#9 41.6%#9 10.4%#15 —
Red Zone 25 +0.280#29 48.0%#21 0.0%#1 33.6%#21
Goal to Go 11 +0.530#28 54.5%#25 0.0%#1 40.8%#21
BY QUARTER
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Quarter 39 +0.007#13 35.9%#24 5.1%#22 -24.6%#23
2nd Quarter 50 +0.146#9 44.0%#15 12.0%#5 71.7%#2
3rd Quarter 58 +0.034#14 43.1%#18 10.3%#14 23.6%#5
4th Qtr / OT 47 +0.035#15 44.7%#17 14.9%#3 -28.8%#22
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Quarter 49 -0.066#15 44.9%#20 6.1%#11 8.9%#23
2nd Quarter 56 +0.112#21 42.9%#15 14.3%#29 9.4%#15
3rd Quarter 40 -0.390#1 35.0%#7 5.0%#6 -15.3%#10
4th Qtr / OT 53 +0.133#23 45.3%#19 9.4%#18 -16.4%#13
SCORE STATE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Trailing 9+ 31 +0.322#6 48.4%#11 19.4%#4 24.3%#2
Trailing 1-8 78 -0.041#19 39.7%#24 10.3%#8 6.3%#17
Close / Tied 70 +0.039#12 40.0%#20 11.4%#9 6.3%#17
Leading 1-8 9 -0.476#27 22.2%#27 0.0%#28 -75.0%#29
Leading 9+ 42 +0.152#10 45.2%#12 11.9%#6 30.3%#6
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Trailing 9+ 59 -0.345#3 39.0%#10 5.1%#7 38.0%#29
Trailing 1-8 30 +0.191#26 53.3%#28 13.3%#28 46.1%#27
Close / Tied 82 +0.052#25 45.1%#22 11.0%#21 46.1%#27
Leading 1-8 31 -0.187#8 25.8%#3 12.9%#19 24.3%#29
Leading 9+ 16 +0.577#22 50.0%#13 12.5%#17 -46.6%#5
PERSONNEL TENDENCIES (FULL SEASON — FREQ: SUMER, RATES: FTN)
⚔ OFFENSE
GroupingFreqEPA/PlayEPA/PassEPA/RushPass RatePlay Action RatePressure Rate Allowed
11 67.5% AVG 56.9% #7 +0.085 #11 +0.128 #12 +0.080 #9 75.6% AVG 72.5% 15.2% AVG 15.2% #16 33.0% AVG 28.4% #26
12 26.3% AVG 23.2% #11 +0.138 #9 +0.439 #5 -0.200 #23 52.9% AVG 50.6% 70.4% AVG 49.3% #4 25.9% AVG 30.5% #11
13 5.7% AVG 8.4% #16 -0.564 #26 -0.809 #26 -0.270 #22 54.5% AVG 39.9% 66.7% AVG 65.8% #13 33.3% AVG 24.7% #15
21 0.5% AVG 7.1% #22 -0.788 #20 — -0.788 #19 0.0% AVG 41.3% — —
22 0.0% AVG 2.9% #16 — — — — — —
🛡 DEFENSE
GroupingFreqEPA/PlayEPA/PassEPA/RushPass RatePlay Action RatePressure Rate Allowed
11 61.1% AVG 57.2% #8 +0.097 #25 +0.082 #19 +0.198 #30 64.5% AVG 72.7% 11.5% AVG 15.5% 32.8% AVG 28.4%
12 21.7% AVG 23.1% #16 -0.248 #5 -0.608 #3 +0.144 #27 51.2% AVG 48.0% 50.0% AVG 50.5% 31.6% AVG 28.9%
13 9.6% AVG 8.4% #11 -0.017 #14 +0.451 #18 -0.466 #7 57.9% AVG 39.1% 36.4% AVG 61.1% 36.4% AVG 26.3%
21 2.5% AVG 7.1% #24 -0.396 #6 -0.483 #7 -0.337 #9 40.0% AVG 40.2% 100.0% AVG 54.1% 0.0% AVG 18.9%
22 4.5% AVG 2.9% #10 -0.666 #2 -0.550 #2 -0.680 #3 11.1% AVG 38.4% 100.0% AVG 79.3% 100.0% AVG 34.1%

* Freq = % of snaps in this personnel grouping. EPA ranks are 1-32 based on the team's efficiency in this specific grouping vs the rest of the league (defense EPA is what the grouping allowed — lower is better). Colors indicate performance relative to the NFL average for that grouping. Play Action Rate and Pressure Rate Allowed are offense-only — a defense doesn't run play action, and its own pressure-generated rate lives on the Overview tab, not this grouping breakdown. Play Action Rate's rank is just usage order (highest first), not a good/bad judgment; Pressure Rate Allowed is colored (lower is better).

** Two sources on one table, on purpose. Freq comes from Sumer Sports per-play charting; FTN's own usage rates understated heavy personnel badly enough to be unusable (it had SF at 0.2% 21 personnel in 2025, against Sumer's 36.3%, in a season its fullback played 629 snaps). Every other column is FTN, whose per-grouping splits are internally consistent and weren't shown to share that bug. Freq columns won't sum to 100% — the remainder is the rarer packages (10, 02, 23...) that neither source breaks out here. Sumer charting starts in 2022; earlier seasons fall back to FTN's usage rates.

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