HB Analytics HB Analytics
Chicago Bears
FILTER
18 weeks · Full Season
* These metrics come from FTN's season-to-date splits and can't be recomputed for a partial week range.
⚔ Offense
± Differential
🛡 Defense

Differential = this team's offense minus its own defense for like metrics · Positive = offense leads · Ranked vs all 32 teams

OVERALL
EPA / PLAY ↗
+0.127
#8 / 32
NET EPA MARGIN ↗
+0.171
#7 / 32
EPA / PLAY ALLOWED ↗
-0.044
#10 / 32
EPA / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.127
#8 / 32
LG +0.006
± DIFF
+0.171
#7
🛡 Defense
-0.044
#10 / 32
LG +0.006
SUCCESS RATE ↗
45.1%
#13 / 32
NET SUCCESS RATE ↗
+3.9%
#8 / 32
SUCCESS RATE ALLOWED ↗
41.2%
#8 / 32
SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
45.1%
#13 / 32
LG 43.8%
± DIFF
+3.9%
#8
🛡 Defense
41.2%
#8 / 32
LG 43.9%
YARDS / PLAY ↗
5.95
#8 / 32
NET YDS / PLAY ↗
-0.12
#14 / 32
YDS / PLAY ALLOWED ↗
6.08
#27 / 32
YARDS / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
5.95
#8 / 32
LG 5.46
± DIFF
-0.12
#14
🛡 Defense
6.08
#27 / 32
LG 5.46
EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE ↗
10.2%
#8 / 32
NET EXPLOSIVE RATE ↗
-0.4%
#15 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RATE ALLOWED ↗
10.6%
#23 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
10.2%
#8 / 32
LG 9.3%
± DIFF
-0.4%
#15
🛡 Defense
10.6%
#23 / 32
LG 9.2%
TURNOVER RATE ↗
1.4%
#16 / 32
NET TURNOVER MARGIN ↗
+1.6%
#5 / 32
TURNOVER RATE FORCED ↗
3.0%
#4 / 32
TURNOVER RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
1.4%
#16 / 32
LG 1.8%
± DIFF
+1.6%
#5
🛡 Defense
3.0%
#4 / 32
LG 1.9%
SITUATIONAL

Staying out of obvious passing situations — 2nd & 8+, where the box thins, and 3rd & 5+, where the defense subs to dime and pressure passes 42%. 1st down success is staying on schedule, on 1st & 10 only. 2nd & 8+ → 3rd & 4 or less is climbing back out once already behind the sticks — a first down, or enough yardage to leave a 3rd down the defense still has to respect the run on. Escape rate is the two averaged evenly. 2nd & 8+ is a quarter of the snaps but carries enough leverage to matter as much, so weighting by volume would bury it. Garbage time and the two-minute drill excluded · Sumer charting

1ST DOWN SUCCESS ↗
42.6%
#18 / 32
NET 1ST DOWN SUCCESS ↗
-4.4%
#21 / 32
1ST DOWN SUCCESS ALLOWED ↗
47.1%
#22 / 32
1ST DOWN SUCCESS
▼
⚔ Offense
42.6%
#18 / 32
LG 43.6%
± DIFF
-4.4%
#21
🛡 Defense
47.1%
#22 / 32
LG 43.8%
2ND & 8+ → 3RD & 4 OR LESS ↗
39.4%
#13 / 32
NET 2ND & 8+ ESCAPE ↗
+4.4%
#13 / 32
2ND & 8+ ESCAPES ALLOWED ↗
35.0%
#15 / 32
2ND & 8+ → 3RD & 4 OR LESS
▼
⚔ Offense
39.4%
#13 / 32
LG 37.6%
± DIFF
+4.4%
#13
🛡 Defense
35.0%
#15 / 32
LG 37.6%
ESCAPE RATE ↗
41.0%
#15 / 32
NET ESCAPE RATE ↗
-0.0%
#17 / 32
ESCAPE RATE ALLOWED ↗
41.0%
#17 / 32
ESCAPE RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
41.0%
#15 / 32
LG 40.6%
± DIFF
-0.0%
#17
🛡 Defense
41.0%
#17 / 32
LG 40.7%
RUN GAME
RUSH EPA / PLAY ↗
+0.085
#4 / 32
NET RUSH EPA ↗
+0.048
#13 / 32
RUSH EPA ALLOWED ↗
+0.037
#27 / 32
RUSH EPA / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.085
#4 / 32
LG -0.049
± DIFF
+0.048
#13
🛡 Defense
+0.037
#27 / 32
LG -0.048
RUSH SUCCESS RATE ↗
43.7%
#11 / 32
NET RUSH SR ↗
+0.2%
#14 / 32
RUSH SR ALLOWED ↗
43.5%
#21 / 32
RUSH SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
43.7%
#11 / 32
LG 41.7%
± DIFF
+0.2%
#14
🛡 Defense
43.5%
#21 / 32
LG 41.8%
EXPLOSIVE RUSH (10+) ↗
11.7%
#10 / 32
NET EXPL RUSH ↗
-1.4%
#20 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RUSH ALLOWED ↗
13.0%
#23 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RUSH (10+)
▼
⚔ Offense
11.7%
#10 / 32
LG 10.5%
± DIFF
-1.4%
#20
🛡 Defense
13.0%
#23 / 32
LG 10.5%
YARDS AFTER CONTACT / ATT ↗
2.04
#14 / 32
MISSED TACKLE RATE ↗
7.9%
#5 / 32
YARDS AFTER CONTACT / ATT
▼
⚔ Offense
2.04
#14 / 32
LG 2.07
—
🛡 Defense
7.9%
#5 / 32
LG 12.1%
PASS GAME
DROPBACK EPA ↗
+0.227
#9 / 32
NET DROPBACK EPA ↗
+0.290
#6 / 32
DROPBACK EPA ALLOWED ↗
-0.063
#8 / 32
DROPBACK EPA
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.227
#9 / 32
LG +0.071
± DIFF
+0.290
#6
🛡 Defense
-0.063
#8 / 32
LG +0.074
DROPBACK SUCCESS RATE ↗
48.2%
#11 / 32
NET DROPBACK SR ↗
+7.4%
#5 / 32
DROPBACK SR ALLOWED ↗
40.8%
#4 / 32
DROPBACK SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
48.2%
#11 / 32
LG 46.1%
± DIFF
+7.4%
#5
🛡 Defense
40.8%
#4 / 32
LG 46.2%
EXPLOSIVE PASS (20+) ↗
8.7%
#14 / 32
NET EXPL PASS ↗
-0.1%
#14 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PASS ALLOWED ↗
8.8%
#15 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PASS (20+)
▼
⚔ Offense
8.7%
#14 / 32
LG 8.3%
± DIFF
-0.1%
#14
🛡 Defense
8.8%
#15 / 32
LG 8.3%
PASSER RATING ↗
92.2
#15 / 32
NET PASSER RATING ↗
+17.0
#8 / 32
PASSER RTG ALLOWED ↗
75.2
#8 / 32
PASSER RATING
▼
⚔ Offense
92.2
#15 / 32
LG 88.1
± DIFF
+17.0
#8
🛡 Defense
75.2
#8 / 32
LG 88.5
EPA / DROPBACK UNDER PRESSURE ↗
+0.225
#2 / 32
QB HIT RATE ↗
13.3%
#20 / 32
EPA / DROPBACK UNDER PRESSURE
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.225
#2 / 32
LG -0.426
—
🛡 Defense
13.3%
#20 / 32
LG 15.2%
EPA / DROPBACK — CLEAN POCKET ↗
+0.222
#17 / 32
CATCHABLE THROW RATE ALLOWED ↗
42.9%
#2 / 32
EPA / DROPBACK — CLEAN POCKET
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.222
#17 / 32
LG +0.259
—
🛡 Defense
42.9%
#2 / 32
LG 69.7%
SACK RATE ALLOWED ↗
5.3%
#12 / 32
NET SACK RATE ↗
+1.9%
#8 / 32
SACK RATE GENERATED ↗
7.1%
#10 / 32
SACK RATE ALLOWED
▼
⚔ Offense
5.3%
#12 / 32
LG 6.0%
± DIFF
+1.9%
#8
🛡 Defense
7.1%
#10 / 32
LG 5.9%
PRESSURE RATE ALLOWED ↗
32.2%
#27 / 32
NET PRESSURE RATE ↗
-10.7%
#30 / 32
PRESSURE RATE GENERATED ↗
21.4%
#30 / 32
PRESSURE RATE ALLOWED
▼
⚔ Offense
32.2%
#27 / 32
LG 28.3%
± DIFF
-10.7%
#30
🛡 Defense
21.4%
#30 / 32
LG 28.1%
DOWN & DISTANCE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Down 88 +0.074#10 40.9%#22 9.1%#19 8.9%#13
2nd & Short 17 +0.212#8 47.1%#22 11.8%#9 -3.7%#18
2nd & Medium 16 -0.053#20 56.2%#7 6.2%#21 -12.6%#18
2nd & Long 36 +0.172#9 44.4%#12 13.9%#9 47.2%#9
3rd & Short 15 +0.189#12 53.3%#22 0.0%#15 22.3%#11
3rd & Medium 14 +0.548#8 57.1%#8 21.4%#4 58.4%#5
3rd & Long 13 -0.017#14 30.8%#21 7.7%#22 12.6%#15
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Down 71 +0.071#23 46.5%#22 7.0%#6 -4.9%#13
2nd & Short 12 +0.171#17 50.0%#11 16.7%#28 69.0%#29
2nd & Medium 19 +0.322#27 42.1%#13 36.8%#32 21.5%#23
2nd & Long 23 -0.046#18 30.4%#10 4.3%#7 55.0%#28
3rd & Short 10 -1.428#1 20.0%#1 0.0%#1 -7.9%#16
3rd & Medium 9 +0.293#22 55.6%#22 11.1%#17 14.4%#20
3rd & Long 12 -0.171#15 33.3%#14 8.3%#11 -80.2%#10
FIELD ZONE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Non-Red Zone 157 +0.208#5 46.5%#11 13.4%#5 —
Red Zone 49 -0.130#23 40.8%#18 0.0%#21 -13.3%#24
Goal to Go 21 -0.491#29 42.9%#17 0.0%#3 -16.8%#23
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Non-Red Zone 140 -0.092#7 38.6%#5 11.4%#19 —
Red Zone 20 +0.292#30 60.0%#31 5.0%#26 94.1%#32
Goal to Go 12 +0.132#20 58.3%#28 0.0%#1 132.5%#28
BY QUARTER
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Quarter 50 +0.198#6 50.0%#6 6.0%#20 29.3%#6
2nd Quarter 50 -0.062#23 36.0%#27 12.0%#5 -9.4%#23
3rd Quarter 53 +0.127#9 47.2%#12 13.2%#8 22.0%#8
4th Qtr / OT 53 +0.239#5 47.2%#12 9.4%#15 25.5%#7
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Quarter 33 -0.292#5 30.3%#3 9.1%#21 6.0%#22
2nd Quarter 49 +0.259#29 51.0%#26 10.2%#21 31.1%#25
3rd Quarter 41 -0.296#3 39.0%#11 7.3%#11 15.8%#21
4th Qtr / OT 37 +0.056#20 40.5%#12 16.2%#31 -4.1%#20
SCORE STATE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Trailing 9+ — — — — 0.0%#8
Trailing 1-8 72 +0.066#12 40.3%#22 12.5%#3 8.2%#16
Close / Tied 113 +0.056#11 42.5%#16 9.7%#16 8.2%#16
Leading 1-8 45 +0.040#14 42.2%#18 11.1%#10 63.0%#4
Leading 9+ 38 +0.275#6 50.0%#6 7.9%#16 50.2%#4
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Trailing 9+ 45 +0.172#19 46.7%#17 15.6%#22 0.0%#6
Trailing 1-8 55 -0.226#3 43.6%#13 9.1%#19 5.6%#15
Close / Tied 69 -0.059#13 33.3%#4 8.7%#14 5.6%#15
Leading 1-8 27 -0.001#17 37.0%#10 11.1%#16 10.0%#23
Leading 9+ — — — — 25.5%#29
PERSONNEL TENDENCIES (FULL SEASON — FREQ: SUMER, RATES: FTN)
⚔ OFFENSE
GroupingFreqEPA/PlayEPA/PassEPA/RushPass RatePlay Action RatePressure Rate Allowed
11 45.3% AVG 56.9% #25 +0.476 #2 +0.445 #2 +0.704 #1 68.3% AVG 72.5% 9.3% AVG 15.2% #31 34.8% AVG 28.4% #28
12 35.3% AVG 23.2% #4 -0.034 #17 -0.043 #20 +0.062 #8 46.9% AVG 50.6% 47.8% AVG 49.3% #19 25.0% AVG 30.5% #9
13 18.0% AVG 8.4% #3 -0.371 #24 +0.125 #17 -0.676 #25 48.0% AVG 39.9% 58.3% AVG 65.8% #19 37.5% AVG 24.7% #19
21 0.0% AVG 7.1% #23 — — — — — —
22 0.0% AVG 2.9% #16 — — — — — —
🛡 DEFENSE
GroupingFreqEPA/PlayEPA/PassEPA/RushPass RatePlay Action RatePressure Rate Allowed
11 60.2% AVG 57.2% #12 +0.002 #15 +0.070 #17 -0.027 #15 76.5% AVG 72.7% 19.2% AVG 15.5% 25.0% AVG 28.4%
12 25.7% AVG 23.1% #13 +0.155 #23 +0.478 #28 -0.043 #17 37.9% AVG 48.0% 54.5% AVG 50.5% 7.1% AVG 28.9%
13 0.0% AVG 8.4% #32 — — — — — —
21 9.7% AVG 7.1% #7 +0.002 #21 +0.977 #25 -0.363 #7 27.3% AVG 40.2% 66.7% AVG 54.1% 0.0% AVG 18.9%
22 4.4% AVG 2.9% #11 +0.524 #17 +1.677 #16 +0.235 #15 20.0% AVG 38.4% 100.0% AVG 79.3% 0.0% AVG 34.1%

* Freq = % of snaps in this personnel grouping. EPA ranks are 1-32 based on the team's efficiency in this specific grouping vs the rest of the league (defense EPA is what the grouping allowed — lower is better). Colors indicate performance relative to the NFL average for that grouping. Play Action Rate and Pressure Rate Allowed are offense-only — a defense doesn't run play action, and its own pressure-generated rate lives on the Overview tab, not this grouping breakdown. Play Action Rate's rank is just usage order (highest first), not a good/bad judgment; Pressure Rate Allowed is colored (lower is better).

** Two sources on one table, on purpose. Freq comes from Sumer Sports per-play charting; FTN's own usage rates understated heavy personnel badly enough to be unusable (it had SF at 0.2% 21 personnel in 2025, against Sumer's 36.3%, in a season its fullback played 629 snaps). Every other column is FTN, whose per-grouping splits are internally consistent and weren't shown to share that bug. Freq columns won't sum to 100% — the remainder is the rarer packages (10, 02, 23...) that neither source breaks out here. Sumer charting starts in 2022; earlier seasons fall back to FTN's usage rates.

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