HB Analytics HB Analytics
Buffalo Bills
FILTER
18 weeks · Full Season
* These metrics come from FTN's season-to-date splits and can't be recomputed for a partial week range.
⚔ Offense
± Differential
🛡 Defense

Differential = this team's offense minus its own defense for like metrics · Positive = offense leads · Ranked vs all 32 teams

OVERALL
EPA / PLAY ↗
+0.225
#2 / 32
NET EPA MARGIN ↗
+0.150
#9 / 32
EPA / PLAY ALLOWED ↗
+0.075
#23 / 32
EPA / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.225
#2 / 32
LG +0.006
± DIFF
+0.150
#9
🛡 Defense
+0.075
#23 / 32
LG +0.006
SUCCESS RATE ↗
50.3%
#5 / 32
NET SUCCESS RATE ↗
+3.0%
#9 / 32
SUCCESS RATE ALLOWED ↗
47.2%
#24 / 32
SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
50.3%
#5 / 32
LG 43.8%
± DIFF
+3.0%
#9
🛡 Defense
47.2%
#24 / 32
LG 43.9%
YARDS / PLAY ↗
6.76
#3 / 32
NET YDS / PLAY ↗
+1.31
#6 / 32
YDS / PLAY ALLOWED ↗
5.45
#17 / 32
YARDS / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
6.76
#3 / 32
LG 5.46
± DIFF
+1.31
#6
🛡 Defense
5.45
#17 / 32
LG 5.46
EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE ↗
15.6%
#1 / 32
NET EXPLOSIVE RATE ↗
+4.1%
#5 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RATE ALLOWED ↗
11.6%
#27 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
15.6%
#1 / 32
LG 9.3%
± DIFF
+4.1%
#5
🛡 Defense
11.6%
#27 / 32
LG 9.2%
TURNOVER RATE ↗
2.7%
#24 / 32
NET TURNOVER MARGIN ↗
-1.2%
#24 / 32
TURNOVER RATE FORCED ↗
1.5%
#21 / 32
TURNOVER RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
2.7%
#24 / 32
LG 1.8%
± DIFF
-1.2%
#24
🛡 Defense
1.5%
#21 / 32
LG 1.9%
SITUATIONAL

Staying out of obvious passing situations — 2nd & 8+, where the box thins, and 3rd & 5+, where the defense subs to dime and pressure passes 42%. 1st down success is staying on schedule, on 1st & 10 only. 2nd & 8+ → 3rd & 4 or less is climbing back out once already behind the sticks — a first down, or enough yardage to leave a 3rd down the defense still has to respect the run on. Escape rate is the two averaged evenly. 2nd & 8+ is a quarter of the snaps but carries enough leverage to matter as much, so weighting by volume would bury it. Garbage time and the two-minute drill excluded · Sumer charting

1ST DOWN SUCCESS ↗
48.5%
#8 / 32
NET 1ST DOWN SUCCESS ↗
+8.2%
#8 / 32
1ST DOWN SUCCESS ALLOWED ↗
40.3%
#11 / 32
1ST DOWN SUCCESS
▼
⚔ Offense
48.5%
#8 / 32
LG 43.6%
± DIFF
+8.2%
#8
🛡 Defense
40.3%
#11 / 32
LG 43.8%
2ND & 8+ → 3RD & 4 OR LESS ↗
52.0%
#4 / 32
NET 2ND & 8+ ESCAPE ↗
+8.7%
#11 / 32
2ND & 8+ ESCAPES ALLOWED ↗
43.3%
#24 / 32
2ND & 8+ → 3RD & 4 OR LESS
▼
⚔ Offense
52.0%
#4 / 32
LG 37.6%
± DIFF
+8.7%
#11
🛡 Defense
43.3%
#24 / 32
LG 37.6%
ESCAPE RATE ↗
50.2%
#2 / 32
NET ESCAPE RATE ↗
+8.4%
#7 / 32
ESCAPE RATE ALLOWED ↗
41.8%
#19 / 32
ESCAPE RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
50.2%
#2 / 32
LG 40.6%
± DIFF
+8.4%
#7
🛡 Defense
41.8%
#19 / 32
LG 40.7%
RUN GAME
RUSH EPA / PLAY ↗
+0.178
#1 / 32
NET RUSH EPA ↗
+0.163
#3 / 32
RUSH EPA ALLOWED ↗
+0.015
#24 / 32
RUSH EPA / PLAY
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.178
#1 / 32
LG -0.049
± DIFF
+0.163
#3
🛡 Defense
+0.015
#24 / 32
LG -0.048
RUSH SUCCESS RATE ↗
56.5%
#1 / 32
NET RUSH SR ↗
+10.2%
#5 / 32
RUSH SR ALLOWED ↗
46.2%
#26 / 32
RUSH SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
56.5%
#1 / 32
LG 41.7%
± DIFF
+10.2%
#5
🛡 Defense
46.2%
#26 / 32
LG 41.8%
EXPLOSIVE RUSH (10+) ↗
18.8%
#1 / 32
NET EXPL RUSH ↗
+7.6%
#2 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RUSH ALLOWED ↗
11.2%
#19 / 32
EXPLOSIVE RUSH (10+)
▼
⚔ Offense
18.8%
#1 / 32
LG 10.5%
± DIFF
+7.6%
#2
🛡 Defense
11.2%
#19 / 32
LG 10.5%
YARDS AFTER CONTACT / ATT ↗
1.55
#28 / 32
MISSED TACKLE RATE ↗
17.9%
#31 / 32
YARDS AFTER CONTACT / ATT
▼
⚔ Offense
1.55
#28 / 32
LG 2.07
—
🛡 Defense
17.9%
#31 / 32
LG 12.1%
PASS GAME
DROPBACK EPA ↗
+0.349
#2 / 32
NET DROPBACK EPA ↗
+0.220
#8 / 32
DROPBACK EPA ALLOWED ↗
+0.129
#20 / 32
DROPBACK EPA
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.349
#2 / 32
LG +0.071
± DIFF
+0.220
#8
🛡 Defense
+0.129
#20 / 32
LG +0.074
DROPBACK SUCCESS RATE ↗
48.5%
#10 / 32
NET DROPBACK SR ↗
+0.9%
#14 / 32
DROPBACK SR ALLOWED ↗
47.6%
#23 / 32
DROPBACK SUCCESS RATE
▼
⚔ Offense
48.5%
#10 / 32
LG 46.1%
± DIFF
+0.9%
#14
🛡 Defense
47.6%
#23 / 32
LG 46.2%
EXPLOSIVE PASS (20+) ↗
12.8%
#2 / 32
NET EXPL PASS ↗
+1.0%
#11 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PASS ALLOWED ↗
11.8%
#27 / 32
EXPLOSIVE PASS (20+)
▼
⚔ Offense
12.8%
#2 / 32
LG 8.3%
± DIFF
+1.0%
#11
🛡 Defense
11.8%
#27 / 32
LG 8.3%
PASSER RATING ↗
95.4
#12 / 32
NET PASSER RATING ↗
-2.1
#16 / 32
PASSER RTG ALLOWED ↗
97.6
#26 / 32
PASSER RATING
▼
⚔ Offense
95.4
#12 / 32
LG 88.1
± DIFF
-2.1
#16
🛡 Defense
97.6
#26 / 32
LG 88.5
EPA / DROPBACK UNDER PRESSURE ↗
-0.199
#7 / 32
QB HIT RATE ↗
22.1%
#3 / 32
EPA / DROPBACK UNDER PRESSURE
▼
⚔ Offense
-0.199
#7 / 32
LG -0.426
—
🛡 Defense
22.1%
#3 / 32
LG 15.2%
EPA / DROPBACK — CLEAN POCKET ↗
+0.519
#4 / 32
CATCHABLE THROW RATE ALLOWED ↗
67.3%
#8 / 32
EPA / DROPBACK — CLEAN POCKET
▼
⚔ Offense
+0.519
#4 / 32
LG +0.259
—
🛡 Defense
67.3%
#8 / 32
LG 69.7%
SACK RATE ALLOWED ↗
7.9%
#27 / 32
NET SACK RATE ↗
-0.7%
#22 / 32
SACK RATE GENERATED ↗
7.3%
#9 / 32
SACK RATE ALLOWED
▼
⚔ Offense
7.9%
#27 / 32
LG 6.0%
± DIFF
-0.7%
#22
🛡 Defense
7.3%
#9 / 32
LG 5.9%
PRESSURE RATE ALLOWED ↗
27.7%
#15 / 32
NET PRESSURE RATE ↗
+7.5%
#6 / 32
PRESSURE RATE GENERATED ↗
35.2%
#5 / 32
PRESSURE RATE ALLOWED
▼
⚔ Offense
27.7%
#15 / 32
LG 28.3%
± DIFF
+7.5%
#6
🛡 Defense
35.2%
#5 / 32
LG 28.1%
DOWN & DISTANCE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Down 90 +0.181#2 51.1%#5 20.0%#1 59.6%#1
2nd & Short 11 +0.322#2 63.6%#11 9.1%#12 30.4%#9
2nd & Medium 15 -0.341#28 20.0%#30 6.7%#20 -18.6%#20
2nd & Long 28 +0.287#5 46.4%#7 10.7%#15 53.4%#8
3rd & Short 8 +0.193#10 75.0%#3 0.0%#15 18.9%#14
3rd & Medium 12 +1.040#2 75.0%#1 8.3%#16 68.6%#3
3rd & Long 12 +0.104#12 33.3%#16 25.0%#2 385.0%#2
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Down 85 +0.096#27 45.9%#20 9.4%#17 -3.8%#16
2nd & Short 13 +0.065#15 46.2%#10 23.1%#32 3.6%#19
2nd & Medium 18 +0.187#25 50.0%#20 5.6%#11 31.6%#25
2nd & Long 36 +0.223#26 55.6%#30 11.1%#21 41.3%#24
3rd & Short 14 +0.118#20 57.1%#14 14.3%#29 14.9%#22
3rd & Medium 7 -1.192#1 28.6%#5 14.3%#24 -16.9%#14
3rd & Long 21 -0.347#7 28.6%#11 14.3%#24 -8.7%#16
FIELD ZONE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Non-Red Zone 150 +0.220#3 50.0%#6 17.3%#1 —
Red Zone 29 +0.250#7 51.7%#7 6.9%#5 33.3%#5
Goal to Go 12 +0.588#6 83.3%#2 0.0%#3 54.3%#8
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Non-Red Zone 162 +0.073#24 46.9%#21 13.6%#28 —
Red Zone 37 +0.082#15 48.6%#25 2.7%#16 37.8%#22
Goal to Go 15 -0.136#10 46.7%#19 0.0%#1 5.6%#16
BY QUARTER
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Quarter 44 -0.062#17 47.7%#9 18.2%#2 38.4%#4
2nd Quarter 48 +0.590#1 58.3%#1 16.7%#1 115.8%#1
3rd Quarter 33 +0.009#15 42.4%#19 9.1%#18 16.6%#11
4th Qtr / OT 54 +0.266#3 50.0%#9 16.7%#1 48.4%#2
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
1st Quarter 38 -0.119#13 47.4%#25 5.3%#8 -31.5%#7
2nd Quarter 60 +0.267#30 53.3%#28 15.0%#32 51.1%#29
3rd Quarter 46 +0.254#29 52.2%#25 13.0%#24 14.7%#20
4th Qtr / OT 55 -0.151#9 36.4%#9 10.9%#21 -19.6%#12
SCORE STATE
⚔ OFFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Trailing 9+ 11 +0.017#15 45.5%#13 9.1%#14 0.0%#8
Trailing 1-8 66 +0.201#9 50.0%#7 16.7%#1 51.5%#1
Close / Tied 74 +0.082#8 43.2%#14 23.0%#1 51.5%#1
Leading 1-8 33 +0.429#2 42.4%#17 15.2%#6 71.2%#3
Leading 9+ 48 +0.340#4 56.2%#4 10.4%#13 56.2%#3
🛡 DEFENSE
SituationPlaysEPASR%Expl%DVOA
Trailing 9+ 69 +0.363#23 53.6%#20 14.5%#21 0.0%#6
Trailing 1-8 71 -0.003#13 43.7%#14 9.9%#21 -104.6%#3
Close / Tied 77 -0.053#14 45.5%#23 13.0%#27 -104.6%#3
Leading 1-8 23 -0.640#2 21.7%#2 8.7%#12 -5.9%#9
Leading 9+ 10 +0.207#15 50.0%#13 10.0%#10 30.7%#30
PERSONNEL TENDENCIES (FULL SEASON — FREQ: SUMER, RATES: FTN)
⚔ OFFENSE
GroupingFreqEPA/PlayEPA/PassEPA/RushPass RatePlay Action RatePressure Rate Allowed
11 43.6% AVG 56.9% #28 +0.234 #4 +0.425 #3 +0.031 #16 69.2% AVG 72.5% 16.7% AVG 15.2% #9 17.0% AVG 28.4% #2
12 21.2% AVG 23.2% #19 +0.343 #3 +0.429 #6 +0.393 #1 47.4% AVG 50.6% 61.1% AVG 49.3% #8 42.1% AVG 30.5% #28
13 30.2% AVG 8.4% #2 +0.098 #14 +0.070 #19 +0.130 #7 38.9% AVG 39.9% 90.5% AVG 65.8% #6 52.4% AVG 24.7% #24
21 1.1% AVG 7.1% #18 +0.623 #2 +0.659 #2 +0.588 #2 50.0% AVG 41.3% 0.0% AVG 46.0% #17 0.0% AVG 22.0% #1
22 0.0% AVG 2.9% #16 — — — — — —
🛡 DEFENSE
GroupingFreqEPA/PlayEPA/PassEPA/RushPass RatePlay Action RatePressure Rate Allowed
11 60.3% AVG 57.2% #10 +0.050 #18 +0.112 #22 -0.047 #12 75.8% AVG 72.7% 17.6% AVG 15.5% 36.7% AVG 28.4%
12 15.6% AVG 23.1% #28 +0.198 #27 +0.098 #18 +0.268 #32 51.6% AVG 48.0% 50.0% AVG 50.5% 31.2% AVG 28.9%
13 8.0% AVG 8.4% #15 +0.158 #24 +0.965 #27 -0.210 #15 31.2% AVG 39.1% 40.0% AVG 61.1% 25.0% AVG 26.3%
21 10.1% AVG 7.1% #6 -0.120 #15 -0.478 #8 +0.094 #22 40.0% AVG 40.2% 25.0% AVG 54.1% 14.3% AVG 18.9%
22 0.5% AVG 2.9% #22 +1.936 #20 +1.936 #18 — 100.0% AVG 38.4% 100.0% AVG 79.3% 100.0% AVG 34.1%

* Freq = % of snaps in this personnel grouping. EPA ranks are 1-32 based on the team's efficiency in this specific grouping vs the rest of the league (defense EPA is what the grouping allowed — lower is better). Colors indicate performance relative to the NFL average for that grouping. Play Action Rate and Pressure Rate Allowed are offense-only — a defense doesn't run play action, and its own pressure-generated rate lives on the Overview tab, not this grouping breakdown. Play Action Rate's rank is just usage order (highest first), not a good/bad judgment; Pressure Rate Allowed is colored (lower is better).

** Two sources on one table, on purpose. Freq comes from Sumer Sports per-play charting; FTN's own usage rates understated heavy personnel badly enough to be unusable (it had SF at 0.2% 21 personnel in 2025, against Sumer's 36.3%, in a season its fullback played 629 snaps). Every other column is FTN, whose per-grouping splits are internally consistent and weren't shown to share that bug. Freq columns won't sum to 100% — the remainder is the rarer packages (10, 02, 23...) that neither source breaks out here. Sumer charting starts in 2022; earlier seasons fall back to FTN's usage rates.

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